Modeling highway traffic safety in Nigeria using Bayesian network
by Mbakwe, Anthony Cyril, D.Eng., MORGAN STATE UNIVERSITY, 2011, 229 pages; 3461702

Abstract:

Highway traffic safety is an issue that confronts developing countries as well as those of industrialized nations. A lot of people are injured and/or killed all over the world each day on highway traffic related crashes. Nigeria, as a developing country, has been experiencing unusually high traffic related injury and fatality rates. In order to commence combating highway safety problems in Nigeria, the first thing is to identify the major contributing factors including poor road condition, road obstruction, anemic use of traffic control devices (TCDs), driving under the influence (DUI), aggressive/reckless driving, mechanical failure, and driver fatigue. Nigeria does not have a reliable and comprehensive database of traffic accidents and fatalities. Consequently, the Delphi Technique was utilized in generating the required data such as number of registered automobiles, number of licensed drivers, and annual fatality count for modeling and forecasting accident rates in Nigeria. A Bayesian Network Model was developed and used with the data obtained from Delphi process to demonstrate possible traffic safety responses to different scenarios of changes in the Nigerian socio-political culture. The conclusions that are drawn from the Bayesian Network support the notion that the Nigerian traffic safety outlook will improve significantly if the existing laws and policies are enforced, even at a very moderate level.

 
AdvisersAnthony A. Mbakwe; Young-Jae Lee
SchoolMORGAN STATE UNIVERSITY
SourceDAI/B 72-09, p. , Aug 2011
Source TypeDissertation
SubjectsCivil engineering; Transportation planning
Publication Number3461702
Adobe PDF Access the complete dissertation:
 

» Find an electronic copy at your library.
  Use the link below to access a full citation record of this graduate work:
  http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl%3furl_ver=Z39.88-2004%26res_dat=xri:pqdiss%26rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation%26rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:3461702
  If your library subscribes to the ProQuest Dissertations & Theses (PQDT) database, you may be entitled to a free electronic version of this graduate work. If not, you will have the option to purchase one, and access a 24 page preview for free (if available).

About ProQuest Dissertations & Theses
With over 2.3 million records, the ProQuest Dissertations & Theses (PQDT) database is the most comprehensive collection of dissertations and theses in the world. It is the database of record for graduate research.

The database includes citations of graduate works ranging from the first U.S. dissertation, accepted in 1861, to those accepted as recently as last semester. Of the 2.3 million graduate works included in the database, ProQuest offers more than 1.9 million in full text formats. Of those, over 860,000 are available in PDF format. More than 60,000 dissertations and theses are added to the database each year.

If you have questions, please feel free to visit the ProQuest Web site - http://www.proquest.com - or call ProQuest Hotline Customer Support at 1-800-521-3042.