Comparison of rationally-derived and empirically-derived methods for predicting failure in residential treatment
by Grattan, Jennifer Pester, Ph.D., LOMA LINDA UNIVERSITY, 2009, 181 pages; 3382037

Abstract:

Patient-focused research methods have been used in adult mental health treatment to improve outcomes by tracking individual treatment response and comparing it with expected recovery patterns. One such approach has used rationally- and empirically-derived methods to analyze data from the OQ-45 and identify patients who are not responding as expected to treatment. Treatment is then adjusted, improving outcomes and lowering overall costs.

Similar but less extensive research has shown analogous methods can be used with children and adolescents. This would be particularly useful in residential treatment, which is an expensive and inadequately researched approach. This study used archival data gathered according to routine clinical procedures to compare the accuracy of a rationally-derived method (RDM) and an empirically-derived method (EDM) in predicting treatment failure on the basis of YOQ scores for 812 children and adolescents in residential treatment.

Both methods were found to predict treatment failure more accurately than would be expected by chance. Performance of the methods was roughly similar to the observations of previous OQ-45 and YOQ studies. The RDM generated more indiscriminate predictions of treatment failure, earlier in treatment, while the EDM was more selective in its predictions, which typically occurred slightly later in treatment. Overall, the EDM was most accurate, but it is recommended that joint use of the methods as a two-stage warning system be considered, as this would maximize the strengths and minimize the weaknesses of each method.

The use of data from YOQs completed by various respondents was also examined. Combined data from multiple respondents, such as parents, clinicians, and house counselors, generated outcome predictions that were just as accurate as those made using single-respondent data. For this sample, it was found that self-report YOQ data evaluated independently of other-report data also generated usefully accurate outcome predictions.

Finally, inclusion of participants with only 2 YOQs available for analysis was found to significantly inflate method accuracy. It is recommended that future studies use only participants with 3 or more YOQs. Omission of the final YOQ from the prediction pool may also be advisable, although this did not significantly alter method accuracy in the current study.

 
AdviserDavid A. Vermeersch
SchoolLOMA LINDA UNIVERSITY
SourceDAI/B 70-10, p. , Nov 2009
Source TypeDissertation
SubjectsClinical psychology; Quantitative psychology and psychometrics
Publication Number3382037
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