Essays on international finance
by Riera-Crichton, Daniel, Ph.D., UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SANTA CRUZ, 2007, 153 pages; 3274371

Abstract:

The purpose of this dissertation is to provide a better understanding of contemporaneous issues in international finance. The first chapter documents empirically the significant differences between persistent episodes of current account surplus and current account deficits in the last four decades. Motivated by a reversal of global imbalances in the last decades, results derived from this study show how persistent surplus episodes, associated to emerging markets in Asia and net exporters of natural resources, are driven by official capital flows, leave countries internationally more exposed and are less persistent than deficit episodes in developing economies. Positive imbalances seem to be prolonged by high investment or low domestic saving, slow output growth, improvements in the terms of trade and wide spreads between domestic and world interest rates. Opposite to the aftermath of persistent deficits, reversals from surplus episodes trigger massive inflows of private capital, significantly increasing output growth but surprisingly leaving the real effective exchange rate mainly unaltered.

In the second chapter we evaluate the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushion the impact of TOT shocks on REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial countries.

Finally, the third chapter reviews the behavior of inflation in Malaysia during 1991-2006, paying particular attention to the subcomponents of the CPI responsible for the significant changes in inflation; we then propose two measures of Core Inflation. To conclude the analysis, we econometrically uncover the dynamics of inflation from two different perspectives. An error correction model shows that money growth, nominal effective exchange rate, unit labor costs growth, deviations from mark-up pricing, and excess money supply have significant effects on inflation. The second approach is based on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC). Estimates of the NKPC reveal that inflation has sizeable backward looking component (inertia) but it also depends on expected inflation rate, the exchange rate, and a measure of demand pressure.

 
AdviserMichael P. Dooley
SchoolUNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SANTA CRUZ
SourceDAI/A 68-08, p. , Nov 2007
Source TypeDissertation
SubjectsEconomics; Finance
Publication Number3274371
Adobe PDF Access the complete dissertation:
 

» Find an electronic copy at your library.
  Use the link below to access a full citation record of this graduate work:
  http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl%3furl_ver=Z39.88-2004%26res_dat=xri:pqdiss%26rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation%26rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:3274371
  If your library subscribes to the ProQuest Dissertations & Theses (PQDT) database, you may be entitled to a free electronic version of this graduate work. If not, you will have the option to purchase one, and access a 24 page preview for free (if available).

About ProQuest Dissertations & Theses
With over 2.3 million records, the ProQuest Dissertations & Theses (PQDT) database is the most comprehensive collection of dissertations and theses in the world. It is the database of record for graduate research.

The database includes citations of graduate works ranging from the first U.S. dissertation, accepted in 1861, to those accepted as recently as last semester. Of the 2.3 million graduate works included in the database, ProQuest offers more than 1.9 million in full text formats. Of those, over 860,000 are available in PDF format. More than 60,000 dissertations and theses are added to the database each year.

If you have questions, please feel free to visit the ProQuest Web site - http://www.proquest.com - or call ProQuest Hotline Customer Support at 1-800-521-3042.