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Does dollarization really matter? An empirical investigation of the Turkish economy
by Karacal, Muge, PhD, THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN - MILWAUKEE, 2005, 0 pages; 3185609
 

Abstract: Dollarization has grown dramatically in Turkey since Turkish banks were first allowed to offer foreign exchange deposit accounts to domestic citizens in 1984, and especially since the Turkish capital account was liberalized in 1989. This thesis attempts to measure the effects of dollarization on inflation, domestic production, and private investment in Turkey in the post-liberalization period. Using monthly data from 1987–2004 and an autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) technique, we examine the short- and long-run relationships between these variables and their stability. Results indicate that dollarization had a strong impact on inflation, but only a short-run impact on domestic output, and no effect on private investment. Thus it appears that, in the presence of dollarization, expansionary fiscal policies that are accommodated by monetary policy can increase domestic production only in the short run, and only at the expense of prolonged inflation that may hamper growth in the long-run.

 
Advisor: Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen
School: THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN - MILWAUKEE
Source: DAI-A 66/08, p. 3017, Feb 2006
Source Type: PhD
Subjects: Economics
Publication Number: 3185609
     
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